AI-Driven Edge
Smarter bets.
Sharper edges.
Model-driven sports betting analytics: real odds, measured edges, and an honest public record.
No card needed · 21+ only · cancel in one click
Most days the answer is pass.
A market only produces a pick once a model has beaten the no-vig closing line by more than chance explains, and is no worse calibrated than that line. Everything else is labelled not yet proven and gives you the analysis instead.
Right now, nothing is proven. The product says so on its own front page, which is the whole reason to trust it the day something is.
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Never takes a bet
No wallet, no deposit, no payout. You bet at your own book.
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Never invents a number
Every edge and verdict is read from the engine, not recomputed.
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Never hides a pass
You see what was declined, and why.
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Never a rate without its n
A win rate with no sample size is not evidence.
How it works
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01
We read the whole market
Every tracked book, every couple of minutes near kickoff, so the price on the screen is the price that is there.
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02
We strip out the vig
A fair probability from the market, and the model's probability beside it. The gap is the edge.
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03
We say pick or pass
Most of the time it is pass, and we say so as plainly as we say pick.
Public record
Every published pick is written down before kickoff with its price and its book, and cannot be edited afterwards.
Nothing published yet
No market has passed the gate, so no pick has been published, so there is no record to show. There is no rate on this page because there is nothing behind one — and a number here before there is evidence for it would be the only thing worth distrusting about everything else.
Plans
Free
Try it.
Free
- Odds board for today: moneyline, spread and total
- One Vigil Read a day, on a pick or a pass
- Bet tracker, up to 25 bets
- Parlay grader, three a day
Vigil Daily
For the daily answer.
$19 /month
or $179/year — about two months free
- Every pick from a proven market, with a Vigil Read
- The near misses too, and why each was declined
- Unlimited parlay grader
- Bet tracker with win/loss and ROI
- Alerts when a pick posts
Not on sale yet — no market is proven, so there is nothing here worth charging for.
Vigil Pro
For the whole board.
$59 /month
or $549/year — about two months free
- Everything in Daily
- The full value board: every pick and every pass, with edge and EV
- Line shopping across every tracked book
- Player props board
- Closing line value on your own bets
- Arbitrage and middle finders
- Model Lab: which markets are proven, and the gate each was measured against
- Bankroll and Kelly sizing, with loss limits that do not negotiate
Not on sale yet — no market is proven, so there is nothing here worth charging for.
7-day free trial on the paid tiers when they open. Downgrades and cancellations take effect at period end, and cancelling is one click.
Questions
Do you place bets for me?
No. Vigil never takes a bet, holds money, or pays anything out. You place bets at your own sportsbook; this tells you which are worth placing and, far more often, which are not.
Why are there no picks today?
Because no market has earned one. A model has to beat the no-vig closing line by more than chance explains before it may produce a pick. Until it does you get the analysis, labelled plainly as not yet proven.
Is this guaranteed to make money?
No, and anyone telling you otherwise is selling something worse than this. Betting loses money for most people who do it. A positive edge is a statement about long-run expectation at a measured price, not about tonight.
What is closing line value?
Whether the price you got beat the price the market finished at. Over enough bets it is the most honest evidence a method works, because it does not depend on whether any one bet happened to win.
Can I export the odds?
You can export your own bets at any time. Odds are licensed for display inside the product and cannot be redistributed, so there is no odds export, no feed and no public API.
How do I cancel?
One click in Account. It takes effect at the end of the period you have paid for and you keep access until then. There is nothing in the way of it.